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商业地产 and 圣安东尼奥 Look Strong for 2022

2022年2月11日

商业地产

This is the time of year when 过yone tallies how good/bad things were last year and how they expect them to be this year.  总之,圣安东尼奥看起来不错!

住房

« Starting close to home on the personal housing front, 圣安东尼奥 业务 Journal announced that 圣安东尼奥排名第四th 关于Zillow Group Inc.的列表 of the top hottest housing markets for 2022 and Austin dropped to 10th 持有1后放置st in 2021.  2021年12月, 8,415 single-family homes were on the market in the region, 与14相比,719, 2020年2月, 据Zillow Group Inc .称. and less than half of 2019’s peak level of 16,972 homes. 低按揭利率, population growth and new jobs will continue to contribute to our red-hot housing market in 2022. 365bet苹果客户端builders are actually having to slow play construction because of supply chain issues and labor shortages.  这些问题最终会自行解决, but it will probably take at least a year and the effects will linger much longer.  This has contributed to a boom in new construction of single-family rentals, 现在哪个市场是投资热点, but they suffer the same issues with low lot availability and material shortages.

犯罪

« Violent crime seems to be on the rise all across the country. So, I went to the City of 圣安东尼奥 website to see how things are here and discovered that the total of the categories that make up violent crime (homicide, 强奸, 抢劫, and aggravated assault) has been nearly level over the past six years.  对我们有好处!

圣安东尼奥是超级太阳带磁石

«每年, Urban Land Institute and PwC (formerly Price Waterhouse Coopers) publishes an extensive study of commercial real estate entitled “房地产的新兴趋势.”  This year in the “Overall Real Estate Prospects” category, 圣安东尼奥 ranks #21; Nashville is #1, 奥斯丁# 4, 达拉斯第七,休斯顿第24.   When it comes to population growth and economic opportunity, 圣安东尼奥被评为超级太阳带磁石, 增长率远高于全国平均水平, 千禧一代和x一代的前景很好.  On the retail front, 圣安东尼奥 is ranked one of the top markets for investment in the U.S.,高于奥斯汀和达拉斯.  我们在酒店物业购买方面排名最高, 适用于多家庭和工业, 然而, 在职位上,我们排名较低.  We are seeing an abundance of investment capital looking for deals, and there is generally no lack of buyers for good properties.

投资机会

« 格林大街 is one of the top national commercial real estate investment research firms and their all-property price appreciation index increased a remarkable 24% in 2021. 彼得Rothemund, Co-Head of Strategic Research at 格林大街 said, “要赶上去年的速度真的很难, but many of the forces driving prices higher remain in place. Property prices could post another double-digit gain this year.” There is an enormous amount of equity looking for investment opportunities, 然而, interest rates and inflation are the spooky unknowns in the room so we will have to see what they do to us.

制造业

« We all have heard that manufacturing is becoming a more important growth industry in the United States, because of the supply chain issues resulting from Covid and our propensity for importing goods from China through our huge but limited number of west coast ports.  这并不奇怪,L。.A. 是美国最大的制造业市场.S. 面积达3.81亿平方英尺.  But you may be surprised that the fastest growing manufacturing market is Savannah, Georgia.   They have a huge east coast port they expanded in the past few years to accommodate the super-max ships that can make it through the newly expanded Panama Canal.  This means that more cargo can come into its port and thus manufacturing is increasing very rapidly there. 但你不知道 圣安东尼奥 is the second fastest growing manufacturing city in the U.S.世邦魏理仕的研究报告显示. This may largely be due to the Navistar facility being finished on the southside, 离丰田和爱森在Cibolo的工厂不远. Currently, nearly 10-million square feet are in the works here.

还要记住 四个阶段,6.51亿美元的基础设施项目 大力扩建科珀斯克里斯蒂港.  This will help imports into our region and may eventually spur more manufacturing in 圣安东尼奥, 太.

One very specialized but extremely important type of manufacturing is making semi-conductor chips.  美国.S. 一直在进口, 主要来自台湾, 台湾半导体的总部, 全球最大的芯片制造商, 生产超过一半的芯片.  These plants are actually called “foundries” or “fabs” for short.  好吧, you may have noticed in the news that China has made no secret that it considers Taiwan a part of “China” while the Taiwanese feel quite the opposite.  事实上, 中国接管台湾, 用武力或更温和的方法, 在未来几年内有可能实现吗.

新晶圆厂建设

因此,我们看到美国.S. companies are ramping up the construction of new fabs, as the manufacturing method requires newer and more sophisticated facilities.  Samsung just announced their new fab will be built in Taylor, 就在奥斯汀东北部, 耗资170亿美元, the largest foreign direct investment in the state of Texas, 过. 德州仪器公司 has announced a $30-billion facility to be built in far north Dallas, that is, Sherman. (是的,谢尔曼现在是北达拉斯.)  台积电(TSM) has just finished a $12-billion fab in Phoenix, while 英特尔 has announced a $20-billion fab investment in Arizona and a $20-billion fab in Ohio, as well.

Then, in early February, the House passed a bill that includes about 拨款和补贴520亿美元 to help the semiconductor industry and $45 billion to strengthen supply chains for high-tech products.  Now it is unlikely 圣安东尼奥 will see any of this, but the availability of chips affects nearly 过ything we buy, and also the production schedules at Toyota and Navistar.  我们将受益于美国.S. “chip independence” as much as we could benefit from “energy independence.”